ExoBrain

ExoBrain Weekly

Apple abandons all reason, can you copyright a style?, and AI labs fight for talent

Welcome to our weekly newsletter, a combination of thematic insights from the founders at ExoBrain, and a broader news roundup from our Exo agents.

This week we look at:

  • Apple abandons all reason

    While Apple downplays AI reasoning capabilities ahead of WWDC, OpenAI aggressively expands access to its powerful o3-pro model with significant price cuts.

  • Can you copyright a style?

    Disney and Universal have sued Midjourney for copyright infringement, challenging whether AI-generated mimicry of brand styles constitutes intellectual property violation.

  • AI labs fight for talent

    A competitive talent war intensifies among major AI labs, with Anthropic leading in retention while Meta offers massive packages to rebuild its research capabilities.

Apple abandons all reason

While Apple downplays AI reasoning capabilities ahead of WWDC, OpenAI aggressively expands access to its powerful o3-pro model with significant price cuts.

Joel Miller

Joel Miller

3 min read
Apple abandons all reason

This week Apple was the latest firm to hold its annual developer bash, but twelve months on from launching Apple Intelligence, AI was a no-show, replaced by a slew of releases more reminiscent of past tech eras. And for some reason they also chose this week to publish a paper claiming that AI doesn’t truly reason. Meanwhile OpenAI slashed prices on its reasoning models and launched o3-pro, a 10x scale-up of its most powerful model.

Apple’s paper, “The Illusion of Thinking,” landed days before WWDC 2025, arguing that models from DeepSeek and Anthropic merely simulate reasoning through sophisticated pattern matching. The researchers showed these models failing on puzzle tasks, collapsing when complexity exceeded certain thresholds.

Not to be deterred, OpenAI made its most powerful reasoning model, o3-pro, available to ChatGPT Pro users and dropped the API pricing for o3 by 80%. This aggressive price cut means that frontier reasoning is now in reach for almost any application.

Back at WWDC, Apple’s priorities lay elsewhere. The headline announcement? “Liquid Glass” – a design overhaul that Bloomberg’s Jessica Karl compared to “the Windows desktop I was using in 6th grade computer lab class.” While competitors push the boundaries of AI, Apple celebrated adding bringing iOS into the 1980s with its ability to drag and resize windows.

The AI announcements were limited; live translation, more reliance on ChatGPT, developer access to on-device models, an AI workout coach offering motivational talks? Despite Apple, with the iPhone and Siri, commanding the most powerful AI delivery platform on earth, they appeared completely distracted by the incremental.

The timing of Apple’s reasoning paper was strange given they probably shouldn’t have been drawing attention to the question of advanced AI. And whilst the conclusions were parroted across the media they turned out to be a mixture of well understood phenomena, combined with a thesis rooted in the theoretical definition of reasoning… rule based, symbolic, elegant. But reasoning to get jobs done in the real world is rarely thus. When you or I solve a problem, we’re also pattern-matching against past experience, trying different approaches, following hunches. Sometimes we apply some approximated process, and almost always we post-rationalise with the sense that we knew what we were doing.

In contrast this week, research outfit EPOCH AI shared a study where professional mathematicians assessed the raw reasoning traces of OpenAI’s models on hard mathematical challenges. What they observed was ‘vibes-based exploration’ rather than formal logic – an approach that often delivered impressive results, even if it didn’t reflect how a professor might operate. But most of us aren’t professional mathematicians, and reasoning models like o3-pro can sometimes achieve astonishing, intricate results – albeit imperfectly.

Tech history is littered with companies that were right about limitations but wrong about timing. Kodak correctly identified digital photography’s quality issues… Blockbuster accurately noted streaming’s bandwidth problems… They were right until suddenly they weren’t. Apple risks the same fate. They’re not wrong that current AI is brittle and maybe not ready to deploy fully across their global platform. Models do make confident mistakes and can be highly unpredictable. But like us they are searching for reason in a forest of data, and they can be immensely useful on that journey.

Takeaways: Apple’s simultaneous release of a low-grade research paper and a backward-looking WWDC reveals a company strategically detached. They are no longer the benchmark for us all when it comes to design and execution. As OpenAI slashes prices and expands capabilities, and Google keeps moving up the gears, Apple is looking to relive the past. Apple has billions of devices running AI tech that can’t tell you what month it is, and there’s no clear roadmap for when they will deliver competitive experiences let alone innovate. Worrying times for what is now only the world’s 3rd most valuable company.

AI labs fight for talent

A competitive talent war intensifies among major AI labs, with Anthropic leading in retention while Meta offers massive packages to rebuild its research capabilities.

ExoBrain

1 min read

This image reveals Anthropic’s 80% two-year retention rate, outpacing all major AI labs including OpenAI (67%) and DeepMind (78%). The data captures a critical moment in AI’s talent wars, where researchers typically hop between labs every 18-24 months. Meanwhile reports suggest that Meta are desperate to hire, offering packages up to $10m a year to top talent to build their new “Super Intelligence” team after Llama 4 flopped.